Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 58.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Juventud had a probability of 16.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.67%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Juventud win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.