Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.28%) and 1-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Danubio win was 1-0 (12.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.