Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.63%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Cerro win was 1-0 (11.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Cerro	Draw	Liverpool
32.88%	29.26%	37.86%

Both teams to score 43.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.12%

62.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.62%

82.38%

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.63%

35.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.87%

72.12%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.95%

32.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.49%

68.51%

Score Analysis

Cerro 32.87%

Liverpool 37.85%

Draw 29.26%

Cerro	Draw	Liverpool
1-0 @ 11.77% 2-1 @ 6.97% 2-0 @ 6.12% 3-1 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 2.12% 3-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.1% Total : 32.87%	1-1 @ 13.4% 0-0 @ 11.33% 2-2 @ 3.97% Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.26%	0-1 @ 12.89% 1-2 @ 7.63% 0-2 @ 7.34% 1-3 @ 2.89% 0-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.81% Total : 37.85%