Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5

Mar 8, 2025 at 8pm UK

Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli

Cerro
2 - 1
Juventud

Alonso (55'), Abero (80' pen.)
Sebastian Sequeira Almada (36'), Emilio Frugone Marotta (57')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Rodriguez (33')
Rodriguez (81')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Juventud.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions

Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Cerro
Saturday, February 22 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Juventud

All competitions

Last Game: Juventud 1-0 Wanderers
Sunday, February 23 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Juventud had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.41%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Juventud win was 0-1 (12.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro would win this match.

Result
Cerro	Draw	Juventud
37.23% ( -0.03)	29.76% ( 0.02)	33% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 42.61% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.53% (

-0.05)

64.46% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.48% (

-0.04)

83.51% (

0.04)

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.73% (

-0.05)

33.27% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.12% (

-0.05)

69.88% (

0.05)

Juventud Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.86% (

-0.02)

36.14% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.08% (

-0.02)

72.92% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Cerro 37.23%

Juventud 33%

Draw 29.76%

Cerro	Draw	Juventud
1-0 @ 13.23% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 37.23%	1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 12.02% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.76%	0-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 33%