Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 42.68%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Juventud had a probability of 28.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.6%) and 1-2 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Juventud win it was 1-0 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Juventud	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
28.34% ( 0)	28.98% ( 0)	42.68% ( -0)

Both teams to score 43.14% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.91% (

-0.02)

63.09% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.46% (

-0.01)

82.53% (

0.01)

Juventud Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.04% (

-0.01)

38.96% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.31% (

-0.01)

75.69% (

0.01)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.68% (

-0.01)

29.32% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.7% (

-0.01)

65.29% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Juventud 28.33%

Montevideo Wanderers 42.67%

Draw 28.98%

Juventud	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.76% 2-1 @ 6.23% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.08% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.96% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 1.52% Total : 28.33%	1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0) Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.98%	0-1 @ 14.01% 0-2 @ 8.6% 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.52% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.08% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.47% Total : 42.67%