Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.21%) and 1-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.