MX23RW : Tuesday, May 20 07:34:54| >> :60:1282:1282:
Cerro Largo logo
Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 6, 2025 at 10pm UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Cerro Largo
2 - 2
Danubio

Affonso (20', 45+6')
Brasil (45'), Medina (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ramon Cardozo (49'), Fernandez (86' pen.)
Sanseviero (39'), Sosa (45'), Arguello (90+2'), Romero (90+4')
Velazquez (90+10')
Cerro Largo win 4-3 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Cerro Largo and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerro Largo 3-2 Miramar Misiones
Saturday, February 22 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 1-1 Progreso
Sunday, February 23 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%).

Result
Cerro LargoDrawDanubio
39.69% (0.147 0.15) 28.5% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 31.8% (-0.131 -0.13)
Both teams to score 45.75% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.49% (0.029999999999994 0.03)60.51% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.37% (0.020999999999997 0.02)80.62% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.25% (0.099999999999994 0.1)29.75% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.18% (0.12 0.12)65.82% (-0.122 -0.12)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.13% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)34.87% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.39% (-0.084 -0.08)71.61% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 39.68%
    Danubio 31.79%
    Draw 28.5%
Cerro LargoDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 12.57% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.62% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.25% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.08% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 39.68%
1-1 @ 13.25%
0-0 @ 10.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.5%
0-1 @ 10.92% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.98% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.76% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 31.79%

Head to Head
Feb 15, 2025 8pm
Gameweek 3
Danubio
0-0
Cerro Largo
Pintos (2'), Velazquez (19'), Rabino (58'), Sosa (86')
Bonifazi (11'), Alfonso (41'), Olivera (76')
Alfonso (49')
Oct 20, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 9
Cerro Largo
0-0
Danubio
Rabino (19'), Sosa (45+1')
Fracchia (18'), Sanseviero (24'), Fratta (45+1')
Blandi (39')
Jun 9, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Cerro Largo
2-2
Danubio
Correa (51'), Brasil (90+7')
Furtado (25'), Prado (28'), Brasil (85')
Furtado (83')
Ferreira (34'), Leyes (86' pen.)
Pintos (49'), Ferreira (57')
Silvestre (30')
Apr 20, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 9
Danubio
1-1
Cerro Largo
Rossi (14')
Lewis (19'), Pintos (29'), Nunez (87')
Cosentino (51')
Estol (37'), Castillo (52')
Sep 2, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 3
Danubio
2-0
Cerro Largo
Bueno (25', 56')
Lewis (15'), Rossi (58'), Martinicorena (76')

Furtado (31'), Gianoli (88')
rhs 2.0
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