Copa Sudamericana | First Round

Mar 6, 2025 at 10pm UK

Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Cerro Largo
2 - 2
Danubio

Affonso (20', 45+6')
Brasil (45'), Medina (67')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ramon Cardozo (49'), Fernandez (86' pen.)
Sanseviero (39'), Sosa (45'), Arguello (90+2'), Romero (90+4')
Velazquez (90+10')

Cerro Largo win 4-3 on penalties

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Cerro Largo and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Largo

All competitions

Last Game: Cerro Largo 3-2 Miramar Misiones
Saturday, February 22 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Danubio

All competitions

Last Game: Danubio 1-1 Progreso
Sunday, February 23 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%).

Result
Cerro Largo	Draw	Danubio
39.69% ( 0.15)	28.5% ( -0.02)	31.8% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 45.75% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.49% (

0.03)

60.51% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.37% (

0.02)

80.62% (

-0.02)

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.25% (

0.1)

29.75% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.18% (

0.12)

65.82% (

-0.12)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.13% (

-0.08)

34.87% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.39% (

-0.08)

71.61% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Cerro Largo 39.68%

Danubio 31.79%

Draw 28.5%

Cerro Largo	Draw	Danubio
1-0 @ 12.57% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.5% Total : 39.68%	1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.5%	0-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 31.79%