Cerro Largo logo
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Nov 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Cerro Largo
2 - 1
Progreso

Cosentino (11', 71')
Bertochi (45+2'), Contrera (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Alles (90+4')
Garcia (90+2')
Castro (15')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Progreso.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Last Game: Cerro Largo 3-0 Defensor
Wednesday, November 27 at 9.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Progreso

All competitions
Last Game: Progreso 1-5 Penarol
Wednesday, November 27 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 53.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 20.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Progreso win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawProgreso
53.95%25.41%20.65%
Both teams to score 45.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.73%56.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.69%77.31%
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.11%20.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.4%53.6%
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.72%42.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.33%78.68%
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 53.94%
    Progreso 20.65%
    Draw 25.4%
Cerro LargoDrawProgreso
1-0 @ 13.83%
2-0 @ 10.82%
2-1 @ 9.32%
3-0 @ 5.65%
3-1 @ 4.87%
4-0 @ 2.21%
3-2 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 1.91%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 53.94%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 8.83%
2-2 @ 4.01%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 7.6%
1-2 @ 5.13%
0-2 @ 3.27%
1-3 @ 1.47%
2-3 @ 1.15%
0-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 20.65%

Head to Head
Jun 4, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 15
Progreso
0-1
Cerro Largo

Lopez (26'), Colombino (74'), Poiso (89')
Poiso (90+4')
Assis (86')
Oct 17, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 6
Cerro Largo
1-0
Progreso
Estol (81')
Max (48'), Brasil (62')
Silva (56')

Rodriguez (26')
Jun 19, 2021 4.15pm
Gameweek 6
Progreso
0-0
Cerro Largo
Andrada (31'), Marta (90+1')
Beltran (19'), Ferreira (23'), Cayetano (53'), Brasil (90+1')
Mar 14, 2021 9.45pm
Gameweek 12
Progreso
1-0
Cerro Largo
Martins Mungay (52' og.)
Heredia (15')

Loffreda (76'), Lew (85'), V (89')
Aguilera Davyt (56')
Nov 29, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 6
Progreso
2-2
Cerro Largo
Silva (42' pen.), Mendez (90+4')
Gottesman (7'), Mendez (19'), Vidal (37'), Sosa (89')
Dorrego (4', 39')
Aguerre (41'), Rodriguez (55'), Sosa (66'), Dorrego (73')