Cerro Largo
1 - 0
Progreso

Estol (81')
Max (48'), Brasil (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rodriguez (26')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Progreso.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Progreso win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cerro Largo in this match.

Result
Cerro Largo	Draw	Progreso
44.06%	26.23%	29.7%

Both teams to score 51.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.25%

52.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.62%

74.38%

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.19%

23.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.02%

57.98%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.66%

32.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.15%

68.85%

Score Analysis

Cerro Largo 44.06%

Progreso 29.7%

Draw 26.23%

Cerro Largo	Draw	Progreso
1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 8.95% 2-0 @ 7.93% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-0 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.75% Total : 44.06%	1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.7% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.23%	0-1 @ 8.69% 1-2 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 4.91% 1-3 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.7%

Cerro Largo1 - 0Progreso

Data Analysis

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Cerro Largo
1 - 0
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