Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10

Mar 16, 2025 at 9.15pm UK

Estadio Alberto Jose Armando

Boca Juniors
4 - 0
Defensa

Cavani (9'), Gimenez (32', 50'), Merentiel (81')
Gimenez (35'), Belmonte (73'), Rojo (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Schamine (68'), Miritello (89')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Defensa y Justicia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: C. Cordoba 0-3 Boca Juniors
Saturday, March 8 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions

Last Game: Defensa 1-0 Estudiantes
Sunday, March 9 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca Juniors	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
53.44% ( -1.8)	25.47% ( 0.76)	21.1% ( 1.04)

Both teams to score 46.08% (

-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.97% (

-1.64)

56.03% (

1.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.88% (

-1.35)

77.12% (

1.35)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79% (

-1.37)

21% (

1.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.22% (

-2.19)

53.78% (

2.19)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.34% (

0.17)

41.66% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.86% (

0.15)

78.14% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Boca Juniors 53.43%

Defensa y Justicia 21.1%

Draw 25.46%

Boca Juniors	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 13.65% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.37) 3-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.3) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.2) Other @ 3.22% Total : 53.43%	1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.3) 0-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.68% Total : 25.46%	0-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.51) 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.15% Total : 21.1%