Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 66.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 10.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.51%) and 3-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.23%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.