Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 5
Feb 11, 2025 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
  • Ayrton Costa 15' yellowcard
  • Alan Velasco 50' yellowcard
  • Miguel Merentiel 51' goal
  • Lautaro Di Lollo 58' yellowcard
  • Williams Alarcon 81' yellowcard
  • Exequiel Zeballos 83' goal
  • yellowcard Ivan Villalba 58'
  • yellowcard Matias Fernandez 90'+2'

Boca Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 9, 2025 1.15am
Racing 2 - 0 Boca Juniors
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Miguel Merentiel

Independiente Rivadavia

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 8, 2025 1.15am
Independiente Rivadavia 2 - 2 Estudiantes
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Sebastian Villa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 14.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.67%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result

Boca Juniors 62.02% (-0.07)
Draw 23.76% (+0.24)
Independiente Rivadavia 14.21% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.9% (-0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5 41% (-1.05)
Under 2.5 59% (+1.05)
Over 3.5 20.53% (-0.82)
Under 3.5 79.47% (+0.82)
Over 4.5 8.64% (-0.49)
Under 4.5 91.36% (+0.48)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5 81.18% (-0.43)
Under 0.5 18.82% (+0.42)
Over 1.5 49.75% (-0.70)
Under 1.5 50.25% (+0.70)

Independiente Rivadavia Goals

Over 0.5 47.91% (-0.90)
Under 0.5 52.09% (+0.90)
Over 1.5 13.94% (-0.60)
Under 1.5 86.06% (+0.59)

Score analysis

Boca Juniors 62.01%
Draw 23.76%
Independiente Rivadavia 14.21%
Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 16.37% (+0.44)
2-0 @ 13.67% (+0.18)
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 7.61% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.14)
4-0 @ 3.18% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 2.07% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.09)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 62.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.67%
0-0 @ 9.8% (+0.39)
2-2 @ 2.91% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.76%
Independiente Rivadavia
0-1 @ 6.39% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 3.48% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 2.09% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 14.21%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 10
Aug 10, 2024 10.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini
  • Franco Romero 40' yellowcard
  • Ivan Villalba 77' goal
  • Luciano Gomez 84' yellowcard
  • Tobias Ostchega 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gary Medel 39'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Figal 43'
  • yellowcard Sergio Romero 83'
  • goal Cristian Medina 90'+5'