Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 27
Dec 14, 2024 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
Independiente

Boca Juniors
0 - 0
Independiente


Delgado (30'), Fernandez (34')
FT

Laso (15'), Loyola (81')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Last Game: Newell's OB 0-1 Boca Juniors
Monday, December 9 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Independiente

All competitions
Last Game: Independiente 2-1 Tucuman
Tuesday, December 10 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 46.59%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 24.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawIndependiente
46.59% (0.385 0.38)29.39% (0.752 0.75)24.02% (-1.137 -1.14)
Both teams to score 39.39% (-2.618 -2.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.71% (-2.816 -2.82)66.29% (2.817 2.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.22% (-1.972 -1.97)84.78% (1.973 1.97)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.21% (-1.167 -1.17)28.79% (1.168 1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36% (-1.477 -1.48)64.64% (1.478 1.48)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.32% (-2.726 -2.73)44.68% (2.726 2.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.33% (-2.281 -2.28)80.67% (2.281 2.28)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 46.58%
    Independiente 24.02%
    Draw 29.38%
Boca JuniorsDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 16.01% (1.11 1.11)
2-0 @ 9.97% (0.38 0.38)
2-1 @ 8.03% (-0.298 -0.3)
3-0 @ 4.14% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.33% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.209 -0.21)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 46.58%
1-1 @ 12.9% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 12.86% (1.28 1.28)
2-2 @ 3.24% (-0.382 -0.38)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 29.38%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.3 0.3)
1-2 @ 5.2% (-0.426 -0.43)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.197 -0.2)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.233 -0.23)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 24.02%

Head to Head
Jul 29, 2023 9pm
Gameweek 27
Independiente
0-2
Boca Juniors

Martinez (25'), Baez (26'), Barcia (50'), Marcone (65'), Ortiz (85')
Zeballos (72'), Valentini (77')
Fernandez (36'), Merentiel (62')
Jan 8, 2023 12.30am
Club Friendlies
Boca Juniors
0-0
Independiente
Oct 23, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 27
Boca Juniors
2-2
Independiente
Fernandez (34'), Villa (49')
Fernandez (32' pen.), Vallejo (81')
Feb 27, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 4
Independiente
2-2
Boca Juniors
Togni (31'), Sonora (80')
Romero (20'), Manuel Insaurralde (22'), Benavidez (58')
Benedetto (17' pen., 45')
Fabra (14'), Rojo (22'), Villa (45+2'), Zeballos (90+27'), Advincula (90+28')
Fabra (70')
Nov 25, 2021 12.30am
Second Phase
Independiente
1-0
Boca Juniors
Benavidez (45+1'), Roa (52'), Manuel Insaurralde (58'), Velasco (87')
Medina (24'), Almendra (45+1'), Sandez (73'), (82'), Varela (90+2')
Izquierdoz (82')