Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 53.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 19.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.