Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 36.08%. A win for Belgrano had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.14%) and 1-2 (7%). The likeliest Belgrano win was 1-0 (13.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.