Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 17

Oct 7, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Alberto Jose Armando

Boca Juniors
1 - 0
Argentinos Jrs

Merentiel (32', 32')
Cavani (12'), Cavani (12'), Herrera (45'), Herrera (45'), Lema (84'), Lema (84'), Belmonte (90+4'), Belmonte (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mac Allister (24'), Mac Allister (24'), Herrera (45+1'), Herrera (45+1')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Argentinos Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions

Last Game: Belgrano 2-0 Boca Juniors
Sunday, September 29 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Argentinos Juniors

All competitions

Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-0 Tucuman
Monday, September 30 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 45.66%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 25.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for an Argentinos Juniors win it was 0-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match.

Result
Boca Juniors	Draw	Argentinos Juniors
45.66% ( 0.06)	28.8% ( -0.02)	25.53% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 41.89% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.23% (

0.04)

63.77% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.98% (

0.03)

83.02% (

-0.04)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.96% (

0.05)

28.04% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.3% (

0.07)

63.7% (

-0.07)

Argentinos Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.22% (

-0.01)

41.78% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.76% (

-0.01)

78.24% (

Score Analysis

Boca Juniors 45.66%

Argentinos Juniors 25.53%

Draw 28.79%

Boca Juniors	Draw	Argentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 14.89% 2-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.6% Total : 45.66%	1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 11.71% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( 0) Other @ 0.48% Total : 28.79%	0-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 1.17% Total : 25.53%