Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 41.12%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 28.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.06%), while for an Argentinos Juniors win it was 0-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.