Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 63.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 13.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.77%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.