Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.97%) and 2-1 (7.7%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Godoy Cruz in this match.