Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 67.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 10.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.8%) and 3-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.57%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.