Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 19
Oct 27, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando

Boca Juniors
1 - 1
Deportivo Riestra

Cavani (78')
Figal (33')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sanchez (15')
Monje (30'), Ramirez (44'), Goitia (45+5')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Deportivo Riestra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Last Game: Tigre 3-0 Boca Juniors
Saturday, October 19 at 11.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Deportivo Riestra

All competitions
Last Game: Deportivo Riestra 2-0 Tucuman
Friday, October 18 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 67.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 10.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.8%) and 3-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.57%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawDeportivo Riestra
67.05% (0.075000000000003 0.08)22.38% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)10.56% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 33.25% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.98% (0.101 0.1)61.02% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.99% (0.074999999999999 0.07)81.01% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.25% (0.063999999999993 0.06)17.75% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.57% (0.108 0.11)48.43% (-0.107 -0.11)
Deportivo Riestra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.43% (0.014000000000003 0.01)59.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.57% (0.0070999999999994 0.01)90.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 67.04%
    Deportivo Riestra 10.56%
    Draw 22.38%
Boca JuniorsDrawDeportivo Riestra
1-0 @ 18.27% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 15.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.11% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.72% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.94% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.04% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.36% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 67.04%
0-0 @ 10.57% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-1 @ 9.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.12% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.38%
0-1 @ 5.48% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 2.45% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.42% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 10.56%