Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 46.85%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 22.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.38%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.