Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 17
Oct 6, 2024 12.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Juan Domingo Peron
  • Damian Puebla 16' yellowcard
  • Damian Puebla 16' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Requena 39' goal
  • Gonzalo Requena 39' goal
  • Jonathan Bay 67' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Bay 67' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Russo 86' goal
  • Ignacio Russo 86' goal
  • yellowcard Elias de Jesus Baez Sotelo 22'
  • yellowcard Elias de Jesus Baez Sotelo 22'
  • yellowcard Daniel Ezequiel Herrera 50'
  • yellowcard Daniel Ezequiel Herrera 50'

Instituto vs San Lorenzo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Instituto

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Sep 28, 2024 1.00am
Independiente Rivadavia 1 - 1 Instituto
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Damian Puebla

San Lorenzo

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Sep 28, 2024 7.00pm
San Lorenzo 2 - 1 Banfield
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Agustin Giay

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 41.26%. A draw had a probability of 32% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 26.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 2-1 (6.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.82%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Instituto would win this match.

Result

Instituto 41.26% (-0.28)
Draw 31.99% (+0.07)
San Lorenzo 26.75% (+0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

35.53% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 28.1% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 71.9% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 11.57% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 88.42% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 3.96% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 96.04% (+0.03)

Instituto Goals

Over 0.5 65.22% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 34.78% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 28.49% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 71.51% (+0.23)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5 54.48% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 45.51% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 18.66% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 81.34% (-0.12)

Score analysis

Instituto 41.25%
Draw 31.98%
San Lorenzo 26.74%
Instituto
1-0 @ 16.71% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 6.95% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.45% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 41.25%
Draw
0-0 @ 15.82% (+0.05)
1-1 @ 13.16% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 2.74% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 31.98%
San Lorenzo
0-1 @ 12.45% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 5.18% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.9% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.36% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.29% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 26.74%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 17
May 20, 2023 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Pedro Bidegaín
  • Andres Vombergar 71' goal
  • Andres Vombergar 87' goal