Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 47.99%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 21.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.62%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood.