Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.36%) and 1-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 (13.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.