Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 17.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.