Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.