Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Talleres
38.89% ( -0.1)	28.78% ( 0.02)	32.33% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 45.13% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.65% (

-0.06)

61.35% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.75% (

-0.05)

81.25% (

0.05)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.36% (

-0.09)

30.64% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.11% (

-0.11)

66.88% (

0.11)

Talleres Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.06% (

0.02)

34.93% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.33% (

0.03)

71.67% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 38.88%

Talleres 32.33%

Draw 28.77%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Talleres
1-0 @ 12.66% 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.88%	1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.77%	0-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 32.33%