Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 58%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Platense had a probability of 17.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.