Velez Sarsfield3 - 0Defensa
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, July 29 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
for
Monday, July 29 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
for
We said: Velez Sarsfield 2-0 Defensa y Justicia
Velez Sarsfield will head into this one with the wind in their sails and unsurprisingly so given recent results. Defensa y Justicia, on the other hand, are in need of a pick-me-up, but we expect their misery to continue at the sound of the final whistle here, with the home side claiming a relatively routine triumph. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 46.03%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 25.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
46.03% ( 0.3) | 28.21% ( -0.09) | 25.76% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 43.53% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
