Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 35.06%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 31.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.02%) and 2-1 (6.51%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (13.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Platense	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
35.06% ( -0.14)	31.9% ( -0.04)	33.04% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 37.41% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

29.41% (

0.1)

70.58% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

12.39% (

0.06)

87.6% (

-0.07)

Platense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.89% (

-0.04)

38.1% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.13% (

-0.04)

74.87% (

0.03)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.43% (

0.18)

39.56% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.75% (

0.17)

76.25% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Platense 35.05%

Velez Sarsfield 33.04%

Draw 31.89%

Platense	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 14.54% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.51% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.09% ( -0) 3-2 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.67% Total : 35.05%	0-0 @ 15.07% ( -0.06) 1-1 @ 13.48% 2-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 31.89%	0-1 @ 13.97% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.46% Total : 33.04%