Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 45.98%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Central Cordoba had a probability of 25.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Central Cordoba win it was 1-0 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.