Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 44.42%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 26.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.