Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 35.09%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (6.95%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (13.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.

Result
San Lorenzo	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
34.46% ( 0.09)	30.45% ( 0.29)	35.09% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 40.97% (

-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.52% (

-0.85)

66.49% (

0.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.09% (

-0.58)

84.92% (

0.59)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.79% (

-0.41)

36.21% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.01% (

-0.41)

73% (

0.42)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.23% (

-0.72)

35.78% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.45% (

-0.75)

72.55% (

0.75)

Score Analysis

San Lorenzo 34.46%

Velez Sarsfield 35.08%

Draw 30.44%

San Lorenzo	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 13.16% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.96% Total : 34.46%	1-1 @ 13.52% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.95% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.44% Total : 30.44%	0-1 @ 13.31% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.04% Total : 35.08%