Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 47.84%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Central Cordoba had a probability of 22.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.94%), while for a Central Cordoba win it was 0-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.