Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 26
Dec 10, 2024 12.30am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
  • Gabriel Avalos 14' goal
  • Gabriel Avalos 14' goal
  • Ivan Marcone 53' yellowcard
  • Ivan Marcone 53' yellowcard
  • Felipe Loyola 75' goal
  • Felipe Loyola 75' goal
  • yellowcard Tomas Castro Ponce 13'
  • yellowcard Tomas Castro Ponce 13'
  • redcard Facundo Sava 14'
  • redcard Marcelo Estigarribia 17'
  • redcard Marcelo Estigarribia 17'
  • goal Mateo Bajamich 65'
  • goal Mateo Bajamich 65'
  • redcard Facundo Sava 67'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Acosta 70'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Acosta 70'
  • yellowcard Mateo Bajamich 77'
  • yellowcard Mateo Bajamich 77'

Independiente vs Atletico Tucuman - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Dec 1, 2024 8.00pm
Independiente 2 - 0 C. Cordoba
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Gabriel Avalos

Atletico Tucuman

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Dec 3, 2024 1.00am
Tucuman 0 - 0 Newell's OB
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Renzo Tesuri

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 49.37%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 21.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result

Independiente 49.37% (-0.03)
Draw 28.72% (+0.69)
Atletico Tucuman 21.91% (-0.67)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.02% (-2.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 34.28% (-2.46)
Under 2.5 65.72% (+2.46)
Over 3.5 15.61% (-1.74)
Under 3.5 84.39% (+1.74)
Over 4.5 5.94% (-0.93)
Under 4.5 94.06% (+0.92)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 72.9% (-1.17)
Under 0.5 27.1% (+1.17)
Over 1.5 37.52% (-1.55)
Under 1.5 62.48% (+1.55)

Atletico Tucuman Goals

Over 0.5 53.53% (-2.15)
Under 0.5 46.47% (+2.15)
Over 1.5 17.91% (-1.70)
Under 1.5 82.08% (+1.69)

Score analysis

Independiente 49.36%
Draw 28.72%
Atletico Tucuman 21.91%
Independiente
1-0 @ 16.44% (+0.94)
2-0 @ 10.73% (+0.26)
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.30)
3-0 @ 4.67% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.26)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.19)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.13)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 49.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 12.59% (+1.10)
2-2 @ 3.15% (-0.32)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 28.72%
Atletico Tucuman
0-1 @ 9.65% (+0.30)
1-2 @ 4.83% (-0.31)
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-0.16)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 21.91%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 12
Mar 31, 2024 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
  • Ayrton Costa 20' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Isla 89' goal
  • goal Mateo Bajamich 34'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Estigarribia 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Renzo Tesuri 81'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Romero 90'+5'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 12
Nov 5, 2023 12.00am
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Monumental Presidente Jose Fierro
  • Marcelo Estigarribia 19' goal
  • Marcelo Estigarribia 19' goal
  • Marcelo Ortiz 34' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Ortiz 34' yellowcard
  • Renzo Tesuri 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Renzo Tesuri 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Acosta 64' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Acosta 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Lopez 61'
  • yellowcard Kevin Lopez 61'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Laso 68'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Laso 68'
  • goal Joaquin Laso 74'
  • goal Joaquin Laso 74'
  • yellowcard Cristian Baez 89'
  • yellowcard Cristian Baez 89'
  • goal Alexis Canelo 90'+4'
  • goal Alexis Canelo 90'+4'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 26
Jul 23, 2023 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Monumental Presidente Jose Fierro
  • Marcelo Estigarribia 19' goal
  • Braian Guille 23' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Romero 41' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Ortiz 63' yellowcard
  • Ramiro Ruiz 68' yellowcard
  • Bruno Bianchi 86' yellowcard
  • Bruno Bianchi 90'+5' redcard
  • Luis Ojeda 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ayrton Costa 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Sergio Ortiz 70'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Laso 73'
  • yellowcard Brian Martinez 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Matias Gimenez Rojas 90'+6'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 10
Jul 24, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
  • Sergio Barreto 31' yellowcard
  • Edgarl Elizalde 78' yellowcard
  • goal Augusto Lotti 1'
  • yellowcard Ramiro Ruiz 49'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Acosta 62'
Copa Diego Maradona
Aug 24, 2021 10.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Felipe Campos 44' yellowcard
  • Franco Mussis 86' goal
  • Renzo Tesuri 87' goal
  • Renzo Tesuri 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thomas Ortega 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Patricio Ostachuk 56'
Copa Diego Maradona
May 2, 2021 4.10pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
  • Sergio Barreto 55' yellowcard
  • Lucas Romero 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Javier Toledo 5'
  • goal Leonardo Heredia 44'
  • yellowcard Abel Bustos 64'
  • yellowcard Camilo Albornoz 72'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Acosta 85'