Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 47.63%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 22.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.84%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union in this match.