Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 19

Oct 28, 2024 at 10pm UK

Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
2 - 3
Union

de Blasis (45+3' pen.), Castillo (54')
Gallo (61')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Balboa (5'), Morales (70' og.), Mosqueira (90+6')
Mosqueira (90+3')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Union.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gimnasia

All competitions

Last Game: Sarmiento 1-1 Gimnasia
Friday, October 18 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Union

All competitions

Last Game: Union 0-1 Huracan
Sunday, October 20 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 45.46%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Union had a probability of 24.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.69%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Gimnasia	Draw	Union
45.46% ( -0.08)	30.09% ( 0.12)	24.45% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 38.17% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.01% (

-0.33)

67.99% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.07% (

-0.22)

85.93% (

0.23)

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.75% (

-0.22)

30.25% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.58% (

-0.26)

66.42% (

0.27)

Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.73% (

-0.23)

45.27% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.85% (

-0.18)

81.15% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Gimnasia 45.45%

Union 24.45%

Draw 30.08%

Gimnasia	Draw	Union
1-0 @ 16.37% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.79% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.23% Total : 45.45%	0-0 @ 13.69% ( 0.17) 1-1 @ 12.97% 2-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.34% Total : 30.08%	0-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.3% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.67% Total : 24.45%