Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.67%) and 1-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (12.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Sarmiento	Draw	Gimnasia
31.22% ( -1.76)	30.82% ( 0.07)	37.96% ( 1.7)

Both teams to score 39.65% (

-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.15% (

-0.38)

67.85% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.17% (

-0.25)

85.83% (

0.26)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.64% (

-1.54)

39.36% (

1.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.94% (

-1.47)

76.06% (

1.47)

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.39% (

0.91)

34.62% (

-0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.66% (

0.96)

71.34% (

-0.95)

Score Analysis

Sarmiento 31.22%

Gimnasia 37.95%

Draw 30.81%

Sarmiento	Draw	Gimnasia
1-0 @ 12.7% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.43) 3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.48% Total : 31.22%	0-0 @ 13.62% ( 0.19) 1-1 @ 13.47% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.81%	0-1 @ 14.45% ( 0.55) 0-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 37.95%