Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 46.65%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 22.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (7.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.84%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huracan would win this match.