Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 43.34%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 26.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.51%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.