Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 38.68%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Huracan had a probability of 30.39%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.89%) and 2-1 (7.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.85%), while for a Huracan win it was 0-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.