Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 37.63%. A draw had a probability of 31.4% and a win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 30.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.67%) and 2-1 (6.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.53%), while for a Boca Juniors win it was 0-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.