Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 42.58%. A draw had a probability of 33.4% and a win for Union had a probability of 23.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (6.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (18.43%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Platense in this match.