Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 35.25%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 31.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.04%) and 2-1 (6.61%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (13.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Platense would win this match.