Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 46.39%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Union had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.01%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.