Defensa y Justicia
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 21
Nov 7, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Defensa
2 - 1
Argentinos Jrs

Osorio (39'), Herrera (83')
Perez (30'), Lopez (45+5'), Gutierrez (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Romero (45+5')
Galvan (3'), Meza (18'), Nicolas Gomez (89'), Herrera (90+2')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Argentinos Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Last Game: Belgrano 1-2 Defensa
Saturday, November 2 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Argentinos Juniors

All competitions
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, November 2 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.31%) and 2-1 (7.22%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (12.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawArgentinos Juniors
36.97% (0.278 0.28)30.3% (0.217 0.22)32.73% (-0.499 -0.5)
Both teams to score 41.2% (-0.614 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.85% (-0.703 -0.7)66.14% (0.699 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.31% (-0.485 -0.48)84.68% (0.483 0.48)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.66% (-0.196 -0.2)34.33% (0.191 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.96% (-0.21 -0.21)71.04% (0.206 0.21)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.74% (-0.749 -0.75)37.26% (0.745 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.95% (-0.747 -0.75)74.05% (0.744 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 36.96%
    Argentinos Juniors 32.72%
    Draw 30.3%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawArgentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 13.67% (0.28 0.28)
2-0 @ 7.31% (0.111 0.11)
2-1 @ 7.22% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.61% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.57% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.27% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 36.96%
1-1 @ 13.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 12.79% (0.33 0.33)
2-2 @ 3.56% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 30.3%
0-1 @ 12.62% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.23% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.05% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 32.72%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 7.30pm
Argentinos Jrs
1-1
Defensa
(Aggregate 1-1 | Argentinos Jrs win 3-2 on penalties)
Rodriguez (85')
Gabriel Montiel (90+1')
Bogarin (11')
Lopez (80')
Jun 24, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 21
Argentinos Jrs
3-1
Defensa
Gonzalez (20'), Avalos (53', 70')
Heredia (75'), Gonzalez (88')
Miritello (90' pen.)
Colombo (10'), Gutierrez (17'), Bogarin (72')
> Preview
Sep 15, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 19
Defensa
2-1
Argentinos Jrs
Rios (43'), Togni (76')
Avalos (24')
Mar 15, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 6
Argentinos Jrs
0-1
Defensa
Oct 9, 2021 5.30pm
Second Phase
Argentinos Jrs
0-2
Defensa

Minissale (37')
Tripichio (65'), Bou (82')
Merentiel (74')