Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.

Result
Tigre	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
43.58% ( -4.48)	26.99% ( 1.92)	29.43% ( 2.57)

Both teams to score 49.13% (

-4.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.2% (

-6.19)

55.8% (

6.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.07% (

-5.29)

76.93% (

5.3)

Tigre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.59% (

-4.74)

25.41% (

4.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.78% (

-6.97)

60.22% (

6.98)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.87% (

-1.28)

34.13% (

1.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.18% (

-1.4)

70.82% (

1.41)

Score Analysis

Tigre 43.58%

Defensa y Justicia 29.43%

Draw 26.99%

Tigre	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 11.88% ( 1.18) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.65) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 4% ( -0.94) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.72) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.6) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.58) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.48) Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.58%	1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.86) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( 1.89) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.53) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.99%	0-1 @ 9.32% ( 1.77) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.81) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.26) Other @ 2.29% Total : 29.43%