Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 26

Dec 7, 2024 at 10pm UK

Estadio 15 de Abril

Union
1 - 0
Velez Sarsfield

Gomez (54' og.)
Verde (72'), Demian Fascendini (86'), Pitton (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Quinteros (10'), Mammana (26')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union

All competitions

Last Game: Platense 1-0 Union
Monday, December 2 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions

Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Sarmiento
Sunday, December 1 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.62%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union in this match.

Result
Union	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
37.3% ( 0.04)	29.07% ( -0.23)	33.64% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 44.57% (

0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.86% (

0.78)

62.14% (

-0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.16% (

0.57)

81.84% (

-0.56)

Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.98% (

0.43)

32.02% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.52% (

0.48)

68.49% (

-0.48)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.57% (

0.55)

34.44% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.85% (

0.58)

71.15% (

-0.57)

Score Analysis

Union 37.29%

Velez Sarsfield 33.63%

Draw 29.06%

Union	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 12.55% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.82% Total : 37.29%	1-1 @ 13.38% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.06%	0-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.27% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.28% Total : 33.63%