Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 46.37%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 24.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 1-0 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Deportivo Riestra	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
24.37% ( -0.93)	29.26% ( -0.35)	46.37% ( 1.28)

Both teams to score 39.94% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.25% (

0.52)

65.76% (

-0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.59% (

0.36)

84.41% (

-0.36)

Deportivo Riestra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.97% (

-0.57)

44.03% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.86% (

-0.47)

80.15% (

0.47)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.36% (

0.94)

28.64% (

-0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.55% (

1.16)

64.45% (

-1.16)

Score Analysis

Deportivo Riestra 24.36%

Velez Sarsfield 46.36%

Draw 29.26%

Deportivo Riestra	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.36%	1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 12.61% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.4% Total : 29.26%	0-1 @ 15.76% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.46% Total : 46.36%