Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.43%) and 2-1 (7.02%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (12.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.